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SPC control limits · trend · excursion alerts

Yield Trend Dashboard

Yield always wiggles — the job is telling noise from a real shift. Plot a yield series with statistical control limits (mean ± 3σ), a trend line for slow declines, and an absolute floor to catch excursions that inflated sigma would hide.

01 · Quick monitor

Paste a yield series (comma-separated) & set a floor.

Mean yield
90.4%
Alerts
1
declining
Control chart, trend & alerts ↓
02 · Deep analysis

SPC console

Control chart (mean ± 3σ)
Yield SPC control chartUCL 107 90LCL 74floor 85
in control alertUCL/LCL = x̄ ± 3σ
Mean / σ
90.4% / 5.46
Control band
74–107
±3σ
Trend
-0.15/pt
declining
Alerts
1
1 alert flagged
  • Point 6: 75%below yield floor
Read-out

Mean yield 90.4% with σ 5.46; control band 74107%. The trend is declining at -0.15/point, projecting ~92% in three more points. 1 point(s) breached control limits or the floor — investigate.

On an alert, find the signature in the Wafer Map Analyzer and the category in Root Cause Finder.

Why it matters

Why monitoring beats reacting

Control limits separate noise from signal

Yield always wiggles. Statistical control limits (mean ± 3σ) tell you which wiggles are normal variation and which are a real change demanding action — the foundation of SPC.

Trend is the slow killer

A gradual yield decline can stay inside the control limits for weeks while quietly bleeding money. A trend line catches the slope that point-by-point control charts miss.

Excursions need a floor, not just sigma

A single big drop inflates the computed sigma so much it can hide inside the widened limits. A fixed yield floor (alert threshold) catches excursions that statistical limits alone would mask.

Speed of detection is money

Every lot run after an excursion starts and before it's caught is potential scrap. Fast trend and excursion detection is directly worth the wafers it saves — the whole point of a yield dashboard.

Field notes

Telling the wiggle from the shift

Yield is never a flat line — it varies lot to lot from countless small causes, and the central skill of yield management is distinguishing that normal wiggle from a real change that demands action. Overreact to noise and you chase ghosts and disrupt a healthy line; miss a true shift and you scrap wafers. Statistical process control exists precisely to draw that line, and it does so with the data's own variation: the control limits at mean ± 3σ mark where normal variation ends and a signal begins.

But control limits alone have a blind spot. A single dramatic excursion — a lot crashing to 75% among 92s — inflates the computed standard deviation so much that the limits widen and the crash falls just inside them, unflagged. That's why a robust dashboard pairs the statistical band with an absolute yield floor: the floor catches any point below a hard threshold regardless of what it does to sigma, so excursions can't hide. Using both is the difference between a chart that looks rigorous and one that actually catches problems.

The other thing control charts miss is the slow killer: a gradual decline that stays inside the limits for weeks while quietly bleeding yield and money. A point-by-point chart never alarms, yet the line is sinking. A trend slope — a least-squares fit across the series — surfaces that drift and projects where it's heading, turning a creeping loss into a visible, actionable number before it becomes a crisis.

And every bit of this is ultimately about speed, because detection time is scrap. Each lot run after an excursion begins and before it's caught is wafers at risk, so the value of fast trend and excursion detection is literally the cost of the material it saves. When an alert fires, the investigation moves to the spatial signature in the Wafer Map Analyzer and the dominant category in the Root Cause Finder, with the saved material priced in the Wafer Scrap console.

Yield Trend FAQs

Have more questions? Contact us

Trusted by Yield Management & SPC Teams

4.8
Based on 2,910 reviews

Control limits plus an absolute floor is exactly the robust setup we run — the floor catches the big excursion that inflates sigma and hides inside the widened band. The trend slope catching slow declines is the one that saves the most money. Matches our SPC system's calls.

D
Dr. Mariana Silva
Yield management lead
June 13, 2026

The control-vs-spec-limit distinction is the concept new engineers most need, and this makes it concrete. The declining-trend preset is the slow killer we drill for. Pairs perfectly with the wafer-map and root-cause tools for the investigation that follows an alert.

J
Jonas Berg
Process control engineer
May 10, 2026

Clean SPC with trend projection and dual-trigger alerting. The excursion preset demonstrates the sigma-inflation trap beautifully. Would love full Western Electric run rules, but for trend monitoring and excursion alerting it's exactly right.

A
Aiko Yamada
Fab data analytics
March 20, 2026

I use it to separate normal yield wiggle from a real shift before raising an alarm — and the floor stops us missing a crash. The projection tells leadership where we're heading. Fast, exact, and the dual detection is what production needs.

T
Tom Becker
Operations manager
December 30, 2025

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UCL/LCL = mean ± 3σ · trend = least-squares slope · alert if outside ±3σ OR below the yield floor · Last reviewed: 2026-06